[ Did someone say visualization? ]

I took the liberty of drawing out our most likely situation right now. X's denote those taken out of this...state of affairs. [ He refuses to use the word game for this. ] The one O refers to the confirmed sheep.

[ Since he wants to spare their feelings, especially after last night, he won't say they're the obvious target tonight. ]

Change the order of the first two X's around in your mind if you must--as far as the numbers are concerned, this should be the worst case scenario. And just to be clear...whether or not we choose correctly today, we have two chances left.